I'm in Colorado and my practice is to skip thinning. But I do not think there is a correct answer, more about deciding where and how you want to spend time and money. Most of the trees I currently pick for cider are huge, old overgrown, barely tended beasts and the cost of thinning by spraying is prohibitive and by hand impossible. They are just that tall. The trade off is slightly smaller apples, but more of them, and perhaps an increase in biennialism. If you do not control for coddling moth, however, remember that apples that touch make it easier for the worms to travel from apple to apple and thus increase apple damage. I'd prefer no moth/worm damage because they cut into the overall quantity of fruit we get, but I don't own most of these old trees and it is hard to convince the owners to spend much $$ on orchards when they are paid a relative pittance, at least when compared to fresh pack Grade A fruit. Last year, for instance, we paid .12¢ per pound for fruit we picked and .20¢ if the owner picked.
I've a few trees in our home orchard that were all planted in the last 5 years and I've kept them to a manageable size. Most are for cider. I thinned by hand just to see how much time it would take and with what impact. About 15-30 minutes per tree, and I'll let you know later this year on size of thinned fruit for comparison purposes and next year for effect on biennialism. But we are so challenged by climate change it is hard to know if the yearly differences are the result of thinning practices or the late/early freezes, the drought, the heat, the smoke, or pick your effect.... Where I do notice a significant difference is in the late season trees I've been thinning and pruning. That alone has decreased the total number of apples and increased the overall size of the individual apples. Typically, it takes me about 1-2 hours per tree per year, but these are trees that, as far as I can tell, had not been pruned in 10+ years when I began pruning in 2015. Hope that helps. And don't be shy about asking!
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